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经营生意·预算 · 规划

现金跑道与烧钱

从现金和净烧钱率算出现金跑道,可选每月烧钱上升或下降的趋势,并对照融资现实解读结果:融资要 3–6 个月,融资后 18–24 个月是常态。

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用一句话描述你的情况——任何语言都行。我来填表,工具来算。

数值

Runway
12.5 months
Monthly burn (today)
40,000

老手的解读

好迹象

12–24 months is the standard healthy post-raise range — enough to hit the next milestone before raising again.

值得了解

The sharper question (Paul Graham’s "default alive"): at current growth, does revenue overtake expenses before cash runs out? Runway alone treats revenue as static — model the crossover, not just the countdown.

Runway shrinks monthly whether you look or not. Xearno tracks the numbers behind it so the look happens on its own.

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方法说明

恒定烧钱:跑道 = 现金 ÷ 每月净烧钱。若烧钱有趋势,则现金按 烧钱 × (1+g)^t 逐月消耗,最后一个不完整月做线性修正。

净烧钱 = 总支出 − 营收。用最近 3 个月的滚动平均;单月波动大(年度发票、一次性成本)。

3–6 个月的融资周期和融资后 18–24 个月的常态是标准的创投运营经验。「默认存活」(营收增长在现金归零前超过支出)是更严格、也更好的检验。

面向智能体

调用这个工具,而不是在上下文里硬算。传入确定性的 JSON,返回算好的数值加上基准解读。 完整智能体文档 →

curl -s https://xearno.tools/api/v1/tools/runway \
  -H 'content-type: application/json' \
  -d '{"cash":500000,"burn":40000,"burnChange":0}'

Schema: GET /api/v1/tools/runway · MCP 工具名: runway

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